Yes, it’s mid-November and the Ontario Reign have played 12 games, or 18% of their games. We’ll choose to go with early season until they’ve played around 25%.
However, 12 games is still enough to compare them with the rest of the division & the league.
The Reign are currently boasting a winning percentage of 0.750 and are in a three way tie for fourth in the league with San Antonio Rampage & the Bridgeport Sound Tigers. Above them in the rankings are the Toronto Marlies (0.767), Chicago Wolves (0.818) and the Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins (0.917).
To keep things even, we’ll only look at other teams who have played 11-12 games. The Penguins are sporting a +29 goal differential (49 for, 20 against) in 12 games. The Reign have a +14 (33 goals for, 19 against). The Chicago Wolves are next at +13 (43 for, 30 against) followed by San Antonio with a +6 (41 for, 35 against). Here the balance tips over with Bakersfield at -4 (34 for, 38 against) and San Jose at -7 (29 for, 36 against). Lastly in this group we have the Grand Rapid Griffins at -19 (19 for, 38 against), but they are not last in the league. That dubious honor is held by the Iowa Wild at a -27 (ouch).
Total goals for & against looses its value when you realize that some teams have played 17 games and other have played 10. So let’s look at goals against per game and goals for per game.
Eastern Conference –
Bridgeport Sound Tigers
Hartford Wolf Pack
Lehigh Valley Phantoms
St. John’s Ice Caps
Western Conference –
Rockford Ice Hogs
Lake Erie Monsters
Grand Rapid Griffins
San Antonio Rampage
San Diego Gulls
San Jose Barracuda
The Reign hold the defensive lead with 1.583 goals against per game over the Penguins who have a 1.67 GA/G. The next closest team are the Tigers at 2.375. The Rochester Americans are in the worst shape at 4.00 GA/G. This is reinforced with the goalie rankings. Peter Budaj leads the league with a 0.947 save percentage. The Penguins’ Matt Murray is next with a 0.942 SV%. Both netminders have 8 wins and 1 regulation loss (Budaj has 1 overtime loss as well).
Offensively, the Reign are at the lower end of the spectrum with the Marlies leading at 4.2 GF/G. The Texas Stars are next with 4.154 GF/G followed closely by the Penguins at 4.08 GF/G.
It’s the new buzz word. It is being used to describe everything from construction to profit margins to winning streaks. In hockey, the new stat is PDO. It’s easy to calculate and has a pretty good record of showing which teams have a hard regression coming.
If you don’t feel like mucking through the numbers, we’ll sum it up. The Condors have a high PDO of 1.321, and will look to be loosing a few more games. The Griffins occupy the other end of the spectrum at 0.953 and will be looking to see their fortunes turn around. The Reign are about where they should be at 1.028.
Had enough numbers for now? We’ll revisit these near mid-season.