Early on in the season, we took a look at some various numbers, including PDO (luck), shots for per game, shots against per game & goals per game. At the time, it was still early in the season and any trends could be explained by sample size.
Now that all of the teams have played at least half of their games, we’ve gone back through and looked at all of the numbers again. We’ve also added in some penalty kill numbers to see if the trends we’ve noticed are backed up by the data.
Since we originally did the numbers, only the Central Division has changed leaders. Further down the ranks, the North Division has only one team shift while the other divisions have seen a lot of movement.
Comparing leaders, The Toronto Marlies & Wiles-Barre/Scranton Penguins are slightly above the luck line with PDOs of 1.04 and 1.03 respectively. The Rockford IceHogs & Ontario Reign are holding even keels at 1.00. At the bottom of that stack are the Lehigh Valley Phantoms with a PDO of 0.95.
Defense: The Reign still lead the pack with a 25.49 shots against per game average. The nearest contender are the Utica Comets with an average of 26.84. They also hold the lowest goals against per game average of 2.05. Next up in that category are the Albany Devils with a GAA/Game of 2.07. The most GAA/Game? That is the territory of the Lehigh Valley Phantoms with 4.79. Their nearest competitor, the St. John’s IceCaps, only averages 3.33.
Offense: The Stockton Heat are winning the shots for/game category with an average of 36.57. Not far behind are the Rockford IceHogs with an average of 35.00. In terms of goals scored per game, however, the Toronto Marlies have taken that crown from the Texas Stars with 4.05. The Stars are still holding on to second place with an average of 3.89. At the bottom of this pack are the Manitoba Moose with an average of 2.02. The nearest team to them is also the team competing for the bottom of their division, the Iowa Wild, with an average of 2.07.
Penalty Killing: The story earlier in the season was the prowess of the Ontario Reign penalty kill. That has since taken a hit as they averaged 1 PKGA/Game for a long stretch. They have even lost the lead in times shorthanded to division rival San Diego Gulls. The Gulls are now at 4.76 times per game while the Reign have fallen to 4.7. In terms of goals per penalty kill, the Albany Devils boast the best kill with 0.11 goals allowed per kill. Next up are the Penguins with 0.12. The Reign are down to 3rd with 0.13. The title of worst kill goes to the Springfield Falcons with a goals allowed of 0.23.
Other: Somewhat related to PDO, but addressed separately is shooting percentage. Just how many of the team’s shots are going into the net? The NHL average is around 9%. The AHL averages 9.29%. The Toronto Marlies have the best percentage at 11.69%. The Iowa Wild have the worst with %7.25.
We’ve stayed with some pretty basic numbers here. For those interested in more advanced numbers, Jewels from the Crown recently did a great post analyzing how the Reign are performing this year. If you want to take a look at the numbers discussed above as they relate to a specific team, you can view the full spreadsheet here AHL Stats_Jan 29.